The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montijo 37.2%
Draw 30.5%
Azuaga 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.7%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
28%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Montijo - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 🟥,
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 🟥,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
Montijo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Azuaga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Montijo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Azuaga has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.