Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday
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Santa Amalia |
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Azuaga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.7 |
3.05 |
1.95 |
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3.4 |
3.28 |
2.11 |
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7.42 |
4.09 |
1.42 |
Watch |
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3.3 |
3 |
2.1 |
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3.56 |
3.15 |
1.99 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.28 ↓ (4.47) |
3.31 ↑ (3.07) |
1.91 ↑ (1.81) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Amalia 22.1% | Draw 28.5% | Azuaga 49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)Santa Amalia - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Piochi V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 2, Zakaria ⚽,
- 75', 0 - 3, Aguado E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Recent form of Santa Amalia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Azuaga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Azuaga is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
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| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;