Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 26

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Olivenza		Coria

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.58
	5.56	3.3	1.64
	5.56	3.07	1.65
	5.47	3.38	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↓ (5.54)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
16.6%

Draw
27.6%

Coria
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

27%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

26.8%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Santos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Olivenza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.03.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Olivenza - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Olivenza - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLL
- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.03.24	Coria - Jerez	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montehermoso - Coria	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Coria - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Trujillo - Coria	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Pueblonuevo - Coria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Coria - Olivenza	1:0
06.03.20	Olivenza - Coria	1:4
11.11.18	Olivenza - Coria	1:1

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