Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Trujillo		Coria

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.3	1.65
	5.53	3.09	1.65
	5.37	3.38	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.73)	3.26 ↓ (3.75)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillo
17.3%

Draw
27.7%

Coria
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.2%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Trujillo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.02.24	Calamonte - Trujillo	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Trujillo - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Valverdeño - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Trujillo - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Trujillo - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTW
- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.02.24	Pueblonuevo - Coria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Coria - Calamonte	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Don Álvaro - Coria	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Coria - Racing Valverdeño	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Coria - Azuaga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.10.23	Coria - Trujillo	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.12.17	Coria - Trujillo	3:0

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