Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 20

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Olivenza		Fuente de Cantos

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.49	3.68	6.2
	1.44	3.88	7.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	3.72 ↓ (4.5)	6.56 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
61.7%

Draw
24.4%

Fuente de Cantos
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

13.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olivenza's form might have worsened.

Fuente de Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olivenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuente de Cantos than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1.

Recent matches Olivenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuente de Cantos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olivenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Olivenza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.01.24	Don Benito - Olivenza	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Olivenza - Castuera	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Moralo - Olivenza	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Olivenza - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.12.23	Olivenza - Arroyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTT
- UD Fuente de Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.01.24	Fuente de Cantos - Jerez	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montehermoso - Fuente de Cantos	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Jaraíz - Fuente de Cantos	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Fuente de Cantos - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Coria - Fuente de Cantos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.09.23	Fuente de Cantos - Olivenza	0:0
12.02.23	Fuente de Cantos - Olivenza	0:0
09.10.22	Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos	0:1
21.02.21	Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos	0:0
29.11.20	Fuente de Cantos - Olivenza	1:3
17.11.19	Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos	0:1

Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide