Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Olivenza		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.59	3.19	2.47
	2.58	3.27	2.53	Watch
	2.69	3.18	2.61
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.54 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
35.4%

Draw
28.7%

Arroyo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Olivenza aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Olivenza - Arroyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gomez D. M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Quique Roldan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 3.

Olivenza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:18 (average 2.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.01.25	Llerenense - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Olivenza - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	Jerez - Olivenza	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Olivenza - Santa Amalia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.01.25	Arroyo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Arroyo - Montijo	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.09.24	Arroyo - Olivenza	4:2
28.04.24	Arroyo - Olivenza	0:2
17.12.23	Olivenza - Arroyo	2:2
22.01.23	Olivenza - Arroyo	3:0
18.09.22	Arroyo - Olivenza	1:3
13.03.22	Arroyo - Olivenza	1:0
07.11.21	Olivenza - Arroyo	3:1

Olivenza - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide