Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moralo		Olivenza

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.25
	1.47	3.95	6
	1.48	3.87	6.45	Watch
	1.45	3.72	7.09
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)	6.64 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
63%

Draw
23.3%

Olivenza
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

18.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moralo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Moralo - Olivenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moralo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Olivenza (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moralo (votes: 1 - 50%). Olivenza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Kinateder A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3.

Moralo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Olivenza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moralo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.03.25	Jerez - Moralo	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Moralo - Santa Amalia	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Calamonte - Moralo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Moralo - Montijo	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Villafranca - Moralo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.03.25	Olivenza - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Azuaga - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Olivenza - Castuera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Trujillo - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.11.24	Olivenza - Moralo	4:2
07.01.24	Moralo - Olivenza	4:1
07.05.23	Moralo - Olivenza	1:1
30.04.23	Olivenza - Moralo	0:1
29.01.23	Moralo - Olivenza	2:1
25.09.22	Olivenza - Moralo	1:1
05.02.22	Moralo - Olivenza	2:2

Moralo - Olivenza