Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Olivenza		Montehermoso

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.02	3.6
	1.97	3.02	3.6
	1.93	3.16	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.56 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
45.6%

Draw
29.2%

Montehermoso
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olivenza's performance.

Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montehermoso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montehermoso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olivenza - Montehermoso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Olivenza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montehermoso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olivenza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.11.23	Jaraíz - Olivenza	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	Olivenza - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Olivenza - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Coria - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Don Álvaro - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLT
- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.11.23	Montehermoso - Jerez	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Jaraíz - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Montehermoso - Trujillo	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Coria - Montehermoso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.03.23	Montehermoso - Olivenza	1:1
06.11.22	Olivenza - Montehermoso	3:2

Olivenza - Montehermoso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide