Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Montehermoso		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.15	3.95
	1.8	3.45	4.04
	1.81	3.5	4.04
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.79	3.38	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	3.99 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montehermoso
50.1%

Draw
27.2%

Pueblonuevo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

29.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Pueblonuevo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Montehermoso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Pueblonuevo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montehermoso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montehermoso is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montehermoso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pueblonuevo	5	0	3	2	5:10	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.03.26	Montijo - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Montehermoso - Moralo	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Diocesano - Montehermoso	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Montehermoso - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Don Benito - Montehermoso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cabeza del Buey - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Badajoz - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.03.24	Pueblonuevo - Montehermoso	1:1
05.11.23	Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo	1:0
05.03.23	Pueblonuevo - Montehermoso	1:2
30.10.22	Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo	1:2

Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide