Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Olivenza		Calamonte

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.2	3.2	2.09
	4.13	3.59	1.76
	3.2	3.41	2.07	Watch
	4.27	3.62	1.7
	3.2	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
25.8%

Draw
27.1%

Calamonte
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

23.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olivenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calamonte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olivenza - Calamonte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Calamonte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
22', 0 - 1, da Conceicao Guimaraes M. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Hormigo M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Rodriguez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 4, Aruna G. ⚽,
68', 0 - 5, Zorita A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 2.

Olivenza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Calamonte is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calamonte will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.04.25	Montijo - Olivenza	6:0 ✺
13.04.25	Olivenza - Villafranca	3:6 ✺
06.04.25	Moralo - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Olivenza - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Azuaga - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTL
- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.04.25	Calamonte - Jerez	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Santa Amalia - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Badajoz - Calamonte	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Calamonte - Montijo	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Villafranca - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.12.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	2:0
10.03.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	1:0
01.11.23	Olivenza - Calamonte	1:1
26.02.23	Calamonte - Olivenza	1:2
23.10.22	Olivenza - Calamonte	2:1
14.04.22	Olivenza - Calamonte	2:1
12.12.21	Calamonte - Olivenza	0:0

Olivenza - Calamonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide