Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Olivenza		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.96	3.05	2.27
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
30.6%

Draw
29.2%

Pueblonuevo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Olivenza - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Lopez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 3.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Pueblonuevo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Olivenza - CD Extremadura	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Jaraíz - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Olivenza - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Llerenense - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Montijo - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Moralo - Pueblonuevo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.10.24	Pueblonuevo - Olivenza	2:2
03.12.23	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	2:1
19.03.23	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	2:1
20.01.19	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	1:0
01.09.18	Pueblonuevo - Olivenza	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.12.17	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	1:1

Olivenza - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide