Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Pueblonuevo |
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Jerez |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
1.88 |
|
 |
3.42 |
3.2 |
2.09 |
|
 |
4.14 |
3.5 |
1.79 |
|
 |
3.3 |
3 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.41 |
3.13 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↓
(4.09) |
3.21 ↓
(3.27) |
1.97 ↑
(1.82) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pueblonuevo
25.4% | Draw
28.4% | Jerez
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pueblonuevo - Jerez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0.Pueblonuevo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Jerez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Jerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Jerez is considered a favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:25. (average 0.2:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 19.10.25 | Jerez - Pueblonuevo | 5:1 | | 23.02.25 | Pueblonuevo - Jerez | 0:1 | | 13.10.24 | Jerez - Pueblonuevo | 3:0 | | 07.04.24 | Pueblonuevo - Jerez | 0:0 | | 19.11.23 | Jerez - Pueblonuevo | 3:0 | | 12.02.23 | Jerez - Pueblonuevo | 3:0 | | 01.03.19 | Pueblonuevo - Jerez | 1:5 |
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