Match Info

Date: 17 December 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Olmedo		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.8	3.35
	1.88	3.6	3.45
	1.94	3.9	3.62
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.92	3.84	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olmedo
48.7%

Draw
25.2%

LDU Portoviejo
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

21.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olmedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Portoviejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	31%	13.8%

Olmedo - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Olmedo will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). LDU Portoviejo will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olmedo: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Olmedo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches LDU Portoviejo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olmedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olmedo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.12.20	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
08.12.20	Delfín - Olmedo	3:1 ✺
04.12.20	Olmedo - Técnico Universitario	0:0 ✺
27.11.20	LDU Quito - Olmedo	3:0 ✺
22.11.20	Olmedo - El Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.12.20	LDU Portoviejo - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
09.12.20	LDU Quito - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Guayaquil City - LDU Portoviejo	3:1 ✺
29.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
23.11.20	Deportivo Macará - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Olmedo	2:1

Olmedo - LDU Portoviejo