Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Guayaquil City		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.3	3.85	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.55
	1.98	3.52	3.88
	1.91	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.72	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.62)	3.43 ↓ (3.8)	3.75 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
48.5%

Draw
26.9%

LDU Portoviejo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

15%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guayaquil City's form might have worsened.

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Portoviejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Portoviejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guayaquil City - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

LDU Portoviejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.11.20	El Nacional - Guayaquil City	Guayaquil City awarded ✺
21.11.20	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
11.11.20	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 ?TTWL
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
23.11.20	Deportivo Macará - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
19.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Orense	1:2 ✺
15.11.20	Independiente del Valle - LDU Portoviejo	2:3 ✺
11.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Emelec	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.20	LDU Portoviejo - Guayaquil City	3:1

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