Match Info

Date: 13 April 2021, Tuesday


	Olmedo		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.15	2.32
	3	3.05	2.28
	3.07	3.32	2.4
	3	3	2.35
	3.02	3.26	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.86)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olmedo
30.9%

Draw
29.2%

Deportivo Cuenca
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olmedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olmedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7).

Olmedo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Cuenca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Olmedo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Olmedo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.04.21	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
01.04.21	Olmedo - Emelec	2:3 ✺
19.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Olmedo	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	9 de Octubre - Olmedo	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Olmedo - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.04.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
22.03.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:0 ✺
12.03.21	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
07.03.21	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.12.20	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
02.10.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	Olmedo awarded
13.09.19	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	2:1
19.04.19	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
05.11.14	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	3:1
01.10.14	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2
11.07.14	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1

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