Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Olot		Alzira

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.04	3.05	3.55
	2.04	3.1	3.69
	2.02	3.13	3.65	Watch
	1.98	3.18	3.81
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.61)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.61 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olot
45.2%

Draw
29.5%

Alzira
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olot's performance.

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alzira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olot than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alzira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Olot - Alzira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olot will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Carretero R. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Mas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 2 - 1, Barnils R. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Giovanni ⚽,
65', Cespedes M. 🟨,
67', 3 - 2, Mas M. ⚽,
73', 3 - 3, Michel ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Alzira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Olot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Olot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Olot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Olot
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.11.24	Olot - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Olot - Córdoba	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Sabadell - Olot	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Olot - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Cornellà - Olot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LWWTW
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.24	Sant Andreu - Alzira	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Alzira - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Lleida - Alzira	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Alzira - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Andratx - Alzira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.04.23	Olot - Alzira	3:1
26.11.22	Alzira - Olot	2:1

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