Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Oltrepo		Cittadella Vis Modena

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.30	1.80
	3.95	3.25	1.78
	4.01	3.41	1.82	Watch
	3.90	3.25	1.79
	4.05	3.30	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oltrepo
22.8%

Draw
27.2%

Cittadella Vis Modena
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

24.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oltrepo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Cittadella Vis Modena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cittadella Vis Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oltrepo - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 7th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Bookmakers give the edge to Cittadella Vis M for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cittadella Vis Modena	9	4	2	3	9:6	3	14
17	Oltrepo	9	1	2	6	5:17	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.10.26	Varese - Oltrepo	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Oltrepo - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Pro Sesto - Oltrepo	6:1 ✺
20.09.26	Oltrepo - Tropical Coriano	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Castellanzese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW
- SS Cittadella Vis Modena
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.10.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Casatese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Correggese	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Lentigione - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Varese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.11.26	Solbiatese - Oltrepo	✺

Oltrepo - Cittadella Vis Modena