Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium (Béja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Olympique Béja		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	9.6	4.65	1.26
	11.74	5.08	1.27
	11.03	4.81	1.27	Watch
	11	4.6	1.25
	10	5.02	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.67 ↑ (6.85)	4.83 ↑ (4.18)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olympique Béja
8.6%

Draw
19%

Espérance ST
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

22.1%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

21.3%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Béja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espérance ST's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Béja than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espérance ST, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olympique Béja - Espérance ST Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Smaoui C. (G) 3. Ben Rajeh M. 4. Chelghoumi I. 6. Dhouibi M. 21. Fadhli F. 11. Gafsi H. 19. Hadouchi M. H. 27. Mbarek H. 18. Omri M. 94. Ouada K. 12. Sidibe A.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 22. Danho F. 34. Diarra J. 13. Drager M. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 14. Ogbelu O. 24. Rafia H. 8. Tka H. 15. Tougai M.
Substitutes
7. Cherni B. 5. Dhaoui E. 22. Fatnassi A. (G) 2. Hosni N. 13. Houiji H. . Ibeh O. 28. Marzouki M.	2. Ben Ali M. 7. Boualia K. 29. Diakite A. 3. Fernandez E. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 10. Taboubi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Diarra J. ⚽, Danho F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Boualia K. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Jabri A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 1.

In recent matches, Olympique Béja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Espérance ST is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Espérance ST is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olympique Béja won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Esperance Tunis	4	3	0	1	7:6	1	9
14	Olympique Beja	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2

Last Results with these Odds

Espérance ST - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Béja
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.02.26	Stade Tunisien - Olympique Béja	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Olympique Béja - Soliman	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	JS Kairouan - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Olympique Béja - Monastir	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Gabès - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLWL
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.02.26	Métlaoui - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Soliman - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.25	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	2:0
11.05.25	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	0:5
22.01.25	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	1:1
07.06.23	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	2:0
Tunisian Cup
28.05.23	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	1:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
16.04.23	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	2:0
07.04.21	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	1:0

Olympique Béja - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide