Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium (Béja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Olympique Béja		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.7	2.6
	2.62	2.72	2.72
	2.71	2.87	2.72
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.65	2.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.18)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Béja
33.9%

Draw
32.6%

Marsa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Béja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Béja's form might have worsened.

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Béja than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Béja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Olympique Béja - Marsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Smaoui C. (G) 4. Chelghoumi I. 5. Dhaoui E. 21. Fadhli F. 30. Gharbi A. 2. Hosni N. 20. Ishimwe A. 14. Jabri S. 28. Marzouki M. 9. Mekni O. 18. Ouji A.	23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 28. Ben Hamida A. 2. Chaouch M. 15. Gneba R. 9. Hadhri A. 17. Jebali O. 6. Karoui O. 29. Neji F. 11. Traidi O.
Substitutes
7. Cherni B. 22. Fatnassi A. (G) 8. Haboubi I. 23. Hedhli M. 13. Houiji H. 26. Laabidi F. 24. Soumer H.	16. Beji M. (G) 4. El Islem T. 10. Jouini A. 30. Kalu G. 24. Kassi M. 27. Khaloui M. 13. Traidi M. 19. Zouari Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Jebali O. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Ben Hamida A. ⚽, Adejoh O. (A),
32', Mekni O. 🟨,
40', Traidi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', Jabri S. ↓, Cherni B. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Traidi O. ⚽, Ben Hamida A. (A),
53', 0 - 3, Hadhri A. ⚽, Traidi O. (A),
56', 0 - 4, Ben Hamida A. ⚽, Traidi O. (A),
60', Smaoui C. ↓, Fatnassi A. ↑,
61', Hedhli M. ↓, Houiji H. ↑,
64', Chaouch M. ↓, El Islem T. ↑,
64', Ben Hamida A. ↓, Zouari Y. ↑,
68', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', 0 - 5, Hadhri A. ⚽,
72', Adejoh O. ↓, Traidi M. ↑,
76', 0 - 6, Hadhri A. ⚽,
77', Traidi O. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,
79', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Marsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Olympique Béja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Olympique Béja won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Béja
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.09.25	Olympique Béja - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Olympique Béja - Stade Tunisien	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Soliman - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Olympique Béja - JS Kairouan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.10.25	Marsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Marsa - Soliman	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	JS Kairouan - Marsa	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Marsa - Monastir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Cup
22.06.24	Olympique Béja - Marsa	3:2 ET
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.05.24	Marsa - Olympique Béja	0:3
03.03.24	Olympique Béja - Marsa	3:0
Tunisian Ligue 2
03.05.19	Marsa - Olympique Béja	2:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
18.12.16	Marsa - Olympique Béja	3:2
16.10.16	Olympique Béja - Marsa	2:1
09.04.14	Olympique Béja - Marsa	2:0

Olympique Béja - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide