Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 20

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade du 7 Novembre (El Kef)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Olympique Béja		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.7	4.1
	2.02	2.71	4.75
	1.99	2.77	4.44	Watch
	2.05	2.62	4.2
	2.03	2.86	4.38	Watch
	2.08	2.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.64)	2.73 ↓ (3.37)	4.33 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Béja
45%

Draw
33.7%

EGS Gafsa
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Béja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Béja's form might have worsened.

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Béja than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Béja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Olympique Béja will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gafsa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympique Béja: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Smaoui C. (G) 19. Abdelli S. 11. Abid A. 5. Ali Ragoubi M. 4. Chelghoumi I. . Cherni B. . Homri R. 20. Ishimwe A. 28. Kenani A. 10. Ouni C. 25. Sghaier S.	1. Jeridi R. (G) 23. Agbre N. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 4. Chabbi A. 5. Chokri A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 9. Mbarek H. 14. Messai M. 20. Mhamedi H. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mbarek H. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Homri R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mhamedi H. ↓, Mbarek H. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Ouni C. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
57', Jebali O. 🟨,
62', Mbarek H. 🟨,
64', Ouni C. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
68', Mbarek H. ↓, Ajmani A. ↑,
74', Chabbi A. ↓, Barbati A. ↑,
79', Homri R. ↓, Houiji H. ↑,
79', Abdelli S. ↓, Mejri E. ↑,
81', Messai M. ↓, Ben Hassine F. ↑,
86', Cherni B. ↓, Ben Seghaier M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Keita N. ⚽,
90+3', Keita N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olympique Béja won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Olympique Béja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Olympique Béja is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Olympique Béja won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Olympique Béja won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Béja
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.02.25	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Olympique Béja	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Olympique Béja - Bizertin	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Olympique Béja - Métlaoui	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTLTL
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.02.25	EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Club Africain - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
20.10.24	EGS Gafsa - Olympique Béja	0:2
14.06.24	EGS Gafsa - Olympique Béja	1:2
14.04.24	Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa	0:0
30.12.23	EGS Gafsa - Olympique Béja	1:0
08.10.23	Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa	1:0
16.03.14	EGS Gafsa - Olympique Béja	2:1
01.12.13	Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa	1:2

Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide