Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gafsa Olympic Stadium (Gafsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	EGS Gafsa		Sfaxien

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.44	2.7
	3.34	2.58	2.61
	3.22	2.59	2.56	Watch
	3.2	2.38	2.7
	3.3	2.48	2.55
	3.15	2.44	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.99)	2.49 ↓ (2.95)	2.64 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EGS Gafsa
28.4%

Draw
36.9%

Sfaxien
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

31.2%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

30.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EGS Gafsa's performance.

Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfaxien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EGS Gafsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sfaxien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gafsa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sfaxien will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeridi R. (G) 23. Agbre N. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 4. Chabbi A. 5. Chokri A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 10. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 14. Messai M. 25. Traore A.	30. Dahmen A. (G) 38. Absi M. 21. Baccar H. 29. Ben Ali O. 7. Haboubi A. 33. Kouame K. 3. Nasraoui M. 25. Sekkouhi F. 28. Traore G. 34. Winley F. 10. Zaidi W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sekkouhi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Sekkouhi F. (Pen),
58', Mejri S. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
64', Traore G. ↓, Conte B. M. ↑,
69', Traore A. ↓, Ajmani A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Sfaxien have a series of home games.

In this match Sfaxien is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6:18 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gafsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.02.25	Club Africain - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Gabès - EGS Gafsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWT
- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.02.25	Sfaxien - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Sfaxien - Gabès	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sfaxien - Étoile du Sahel	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Bizertin - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
19.01.25	Sfaxien - Bravos do Maquis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.10.24	Sfaxien - EGS Gafsa	2:0
Tunisian Cup
09.05.19	Sfaxien - EGS Gafsa	1:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.02.16	EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien	1:4
27.09.15	Sfaxien - EGS Gafsa	3:1
02.04.15	Sfaxien - EGS Gafsa	1:1
03.12.14	EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien	1:0
12.03.14	Sfaxien - EGS Gafsa	2:0

EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide