The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olympique Marseille 42%
Draw 25.5%
Montpellier 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
24.6%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
23.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Olympique Marseille - Montpellier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Shore M. (G) 7. Laplacette T. (C) 15. Blanchard N. 55. Carro M. 20. Kbida I. 88. Elisor S. 17. Bourgouin L. 14. Perret J. 8. Le Mouel M. 9. Bourdieu M. 77. Herrera Monge M.
96. N'Gazi C. (G) 19. Baylet C. 18. Rastocle J. 12. Gillard G. 3. Levasseur M. 11. Rouquet J. 4. Torrent M. (C) 15. Blanc C. 10. Clark A. 8. Ouchene S. 21. Ngueleu N.
Substitutes
2. Alvarez M. 10. Bamenga N. 19. Cabezas S. 22. Couasnon R. 24. Cyraniak J. 18. Leger M. 1. Sieber M. (G)
9. Chabod C. 17. Coquet J. 22. Gstalter L. 99. Kadzere R. 6. Palis E. 7. Wurigumula 40. Yilmaz C. (G)
Coaches
Diacre C.
Chandioux Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Kbida I. (Own goal),
29', Clark A. ↓, Gstalter L. ↑,
31', Gstalter L. 🟨,
38', Kbida I. ↓, Cyraniak J. ↑,
39', Le Mouel M. ↓, Cabezas S. ↑,
41', Ngueleu N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Rouquet J. ⚽, Ngueleu N. (A),
52', 1 - 2, Bourdieu M. ⚽,
60', Perret J. ↓, Bamenga N. ↑,
67', Blanc C. ↓, Palis E. ↑,
68', Ngueleu N. ↓, Chabod C. ↑,
73', Levasseur M. 🟨,
79', Laplacette T. ↓, Leger M. ↑,
81', Cabezas S. 🟨,
90+4', Palis E. 🟨,
90+6', Ouchene S. ↓, Coquet J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women).
Marseille is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Montpellier has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Marseille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).