Match Info

WE League Women - Round 22

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.55	4.45
	1.63	3.85	4.86
	1.65	3.72	4.7	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.5
	1.6	3.74	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.22)	3.65 ↑ (2.92)	4.66 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
55.7%

Draw
24.8%

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omiya Ardija's performance.

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omiya Ardija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Omiya Ardija - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Otake M. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Yumura H. ⚽, Oga R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 0 - 3, Otake M. ⚽, Katayama Y. (A),
90+3', 0 - 4, Kishikawa N. ⚽, Ito J. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya Ardija won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Omiya Ardija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Omiya Ardija is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Omiya Ardija won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 0.9:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya Ardija won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Omiya Ardija W	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3
11	Nojima Stella W	3	1	0	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omiya Ardija Women
Japan WE League Women
10.05.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - NTV Beleza	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan WE League Women
26.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:0 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
19.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWW
- Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
Japan WE League Women
09.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Women
18.10.25	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:2
01.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:1
22.09.24	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	0:0
24.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	1:0
11.11.23	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	0:1
26.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:0
07.01.23	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:1

Omiya Ardija - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide