The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 20.3%
Draw 25.5%
Omiya Ardija 54.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.2%
28.1%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
25.3%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nagano Parceiro - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 11th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano Parceiro won 2.
Nagano Parceiro has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Omiya Ardija has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Omiya Ardija carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Nagano Parceiro has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:13 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nagano Parceiro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Parceiro Nagano W
6
0
3
3
4:9
-5
3
12
Omiya Ardija W
5
1
0
4
3:8
-5
3
Last Results with these Odds
Omiya Ardija - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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