Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Omonia		Sheriff Tiraspol

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.4	3.1	3.35
	2.4	3	3.3
	2.4	3.05	3.53
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.33	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 6

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
40.7%

Draw
31%

Sheriff Tiraspol
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

30.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	29%	21%

Omonia - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 31 - 50%). Sheriff will win (votes: 13 - 21%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 37.6% – 62.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Omonia has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (4%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sheriff has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a chance of 2nd (17%), has a good chance of 3rd (52%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 45, importance 36, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Omonia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sheriff is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omonia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Omonia: Kakoullis A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Omonia: Fabiano (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
03.09.22	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
29.08.22	Akritas Chlorakas - Omonia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Omonia - Gent	2:0 ✺
18.08.22	Gent - Omonia	0:2 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
12.08.22	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWWL
- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
03.09.22	Dacia Buiucani - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Pyunik	1:0 penalties ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
21.08.22	Bălți - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.08.22	Pyunik - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWT

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