Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Bognar T. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Canvas, Ketnet, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 5, VRT Canvas
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Canal+, Sporza
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 11, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Gent		Omonia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33
	1.73	3.6	4.1
	1.78	3.75	4.3
	1.78	3.78	4.67
	1.74	3.87	4.33
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.8	3.91	4.43
	1.78	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.45)	3.81 ↓ (4.4)	4.5 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gent
54.3%

Draw
24.8%

Omonia
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.6%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gent's form might have worsened.

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	3.8%	11.3%

Gent - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.27% – 94.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 18. Samoise M. 4. Watanabe T. (C) 23. Torunarigha J. 20. Araujo T. 15. Ito A. 6. Gandelman O. 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 19. Surdez F. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 11. Sonko M. L.	40. Fabiano Freitas (C) 2. Dionkou A. 22. Lang A. 30. Panagiotou N. 24. Khammas A. 80. Erakovic N. 20. Maric M. 17. Masouras G. 76. Charalampous C. 99. Alioum S. 9. Kakoullis A.
Substitutes
3. Brown A. 21. Dean M. 35. De Meyer G. 27. De Vlieger T. 22. Fadiga N. 25. Fortuna N. 8. Gerkens P. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 7. Vancsa Z. 40. Vanden Borre R. (G) 29. Varela H.	4. Helander F. 3. Kitsos F. 31. Kousoulos I. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 75. Loizou L. 85. Neophytou A. 81. Nikolaou A. 21. Simic V. 14. Stepinski M. 23. Uzoho F. (G)
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Gandelman O. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Alioum S. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
64', Erakovic N. ↓, Stepinski M. ↑,
75', Samoise M. ↓, De Meyer G. ↑,
75', Sonko M. L. ↓, Fadiga N. ↑,
75', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
77', Masouras G. ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
78', Maric M. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
84', Kakoullis A. 🟨,
85', Araujo T. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
85', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Gerkens P. ↑,
85', Khammas A. ↓, Kitsos F. ↑,
90+4', Dean M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Gent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Omonia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gent is a favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Kums S. (Calf Injury) Omgba A. (Injury)

There will not play in Omonia: Jovetic S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Hjulsager A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.11.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	Gent - Union Rochefortoise	7:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.24	Gent - Genk	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Gent - Molde	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWT
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
02.11.24	Omonia - Omonia 29is Maiou	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia	2:6 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Hearts - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
19.10.24	Omonia - Enosis Neon Paralimni	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Aris Limassol - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Omonia - Gent	2:0
18.08.22	Gent - Omonia	0:2

Upcoming Matches