Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV


	Omonia		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.5
	1.54	4.2	6.3
	1.48	4.34	6.28
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.56	4.03	5.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.24)	4.07 ↑ (3.32)	5.82 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
61.3%

Draw
22.8%

AEK Larnaca
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omonia's performance.

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Omonia - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 5. Coulibaly S. (C) 2. Dionkou A. 6. Eiting C. 11. Ewandro 14. Maric M. 19. Mmaee R. 28. Odubajo M. 7. Semedo W. 27. Simic S. 22. Tankovic M.	51. Paraskevas A. (G) 86. Cardero A. 2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 25. Kyriakou C. 7. Ledes Gustavo 41. Mathias Gonzalez 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 32. Mudrazija R. 17. Pons P.
Substitutes
20. Andreou E. 29. Balkovec J. 10. Chatzigiovanis A. 82. Christou A. 44. Erakovic N. 40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 8. Jovetic S. 31. Kousoulos I. 21. Masouras G. 18. Mayambela M. 85. Neofytou A. 23. Uzoho F. (G)	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 14. Garcia A. 37. Gerasimou D. 6. Jimmy Suarez 12. Komar K. (G) 36. Loukaidis C. 29. Naoum G. 39. Petousis M. 35. Thoma C.
Coaches
Berg H.	Rozada J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Simic S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Milicevic H. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Ewandro 🟨,
38', Ledes Gustavo 🟨,
45+2', Miramon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
60', Ivanovic D. 🟥,
61', Milicevic H. 🟨,
62', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
62', Miramon ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
64', Maric M. ↓, Jovetic S. ↑,
64', Eiting C. ↓, Christou A. ↑,
71', Mudrazija R. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Coulibaly S. ⚽,
79', Dionkou A. ↓, Balkovec J. ↑,
79', Odubajo M. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
88', Mathias Gonzalez ↓, Thoma C. ↑,
88', Cardero A. ↓, Loukaidis C. ↑,

Preview

Omonia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 3.

Omonia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, AEK Larnaca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Omonia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Omonia: Agouzoul S. (Inactive) Kitsos F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Hamstring Injury) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Rubio W. (Inactive) Saborit E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Omonia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
3	Omonia	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8

Last Results with these Odds

Omonia - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
06.05.26	Paphos - Omonia	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Omonia - Aris Limassol	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Omonia - APOEL	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
06.05.26	AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2
Cypriot Cup
14.01.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1
Cypriot First Division
15.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1
17.09.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:0
Cypriot Cup
07.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	2:1
30.04.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	0:0
Cypriot First Division
22.04.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1

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