Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Kyriakos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Omonia TV


	Omonia Aradippou		Ethnikos Achna

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.82
	2.54	3.3	2.83
	2.24	3.44	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.72)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	2.87 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Omonia Aradippou
39.8%

Draw
27.5%

Ethnikos Achna
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia Aradippou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omonia Aradippou's performance.

Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia Aradippou than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omonia Aradippou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethnikos Achna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kostic I. (G) 22. Antoniou M. 8. Havelka N. (C) 7. Jorginho 10. Mouaddib J. 35. Polykarpou P. 9. Pontikos G. 3. Ring S. 5. Thelander R. 14. van Mullem J. 90. Yansane M.	38. Toumpas I. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 80. Angelopoulos G. N. 98. Breno Almeida 27. Confais A. 17. Gonzalez P. 36. Kane M. 5. Luis Felipe 20. Machado L. 30. Papageorgiou G. 10. Pechlivanis M.
Substitutes
24. Cano L. 34. Danny Henriques 6. Edwards R. 44. Evripidou K. 26. Fomba B. 70. Georgiou S. 4. Kallis C. 11. Mekkaoui K. 20. Olamilekan Fatai S. 30. Richard 99. Sakka G. (G) 33. Theocharous A.	29. Bahanack P. 7. Cejas J. 40. Flores L. (G) 44. Giallouros N. 21. Kravchuk A. 8. Maia M. 11. Marinescu M. 89. Papanikolaou Baig I. (G) 9. Rodriguinho 25. Saadi J.
Coaches
Satsias M.	Angelovski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Pontikos G. ⚽,
28', Mouaddib J. 🟨,
31', Havelka N. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Andereggen N. ⚽,
39', Kane M. 🟨,
42', Confais A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Polykarpou P. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Jorginho ⚽,
56', Kane M. ↓, Cejas J. ↑,
60', Confais A. 🟨,
67', Yansane M. ↓, Mekkaoui K. ↑,
67', Polykarpou P. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Gonzalez P. ⚽,
73', Machado L. ↓, Maia M. ↑,
73', Luis Felipe ↓, Saadi J. ↑,
75', Ring S. ↓, Richard ↑,
75', Mouaddib J. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Pontikos G. ⚽,
86', Gonzalez P. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
90+1', Jorginho ↓, Kallis C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omonia Aradippou won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Bahanack P. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Omonia Aradippou won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Omonia Aradippou won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
09.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
05.11.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ayia Napa	4:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
01.11.25	Omonia Aradippou - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Akritas Chlorakas - Omonia Aradippou	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Apollon Limassol - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
08.11.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	APOEL - Ethnikos Achna	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Ethnikos Achna - Enosis Neon Paralimni	5:1 ✺
17.10.25	Paphos - Ethnikos Achna	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Ethnikos Achna - Krasava Ypsonas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
28.04.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:1
23.02.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:2
24.11.24	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia Aradippou	awarded
Cypriot Cup
06.12.23	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	0:2
Cypriot Division 2
11.03.23	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia Aradippou	1:0
21.01.23	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	0:0
22.12.22	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia Aradippou	2:2

Upcoming Matches