Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Ontinyent 1931		Rayo Ibense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	4.8 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontinyent 1931
54%

Draw
27.4%

Rayo Ibense
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontinyent 1931 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ontinyent 1931's performance.

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Ibense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontinyent 1931 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Ibense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ontinyent 1931 - Rayo Ibense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Llario J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Llario J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ontinyent 1931 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ontinyent 1931 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ontinyent 1931 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ontinyent 1931 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Benidorm	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Castellon B - Ontinyent 1931	5:2 ✺
15.12.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Atlético Saguntino - Ontinyent 1931	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTT
- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.25	Rayo Ibense - Vall de Uxó	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Levante B - Rayo Ibense	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Rayo Ibense - Benidorm	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Roda - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Rayo Ibense - Villarreal C	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.09.24	Rayo Ibense - Ontinyent 1931	1:0
26.04.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Rayo Ibense	1:0
17.12.23	Rayo Ibense - Ontinyent 1931	0:0

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