Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Roda		Rayo Ibense

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6
	1.47	3.85	6.2
	1.48	3.31	6.97
	1.49	3.56	7.3	Watch
	1.44	4.05	6.33
	1.47	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.31)	3.73 ↓ (4.5)	6.5 ↓ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
61.7%

Draw
24.3%

Rayo Ibense
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

20.2%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

19.1%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roda's form might have worsened.

Rayo Ibense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Roda - Rayo Ibense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, El Jmili N. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Nestor Querol ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.24	Soneja - Roda	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Roda - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Torrellano - Roda	3:2 ✺
16.11.24	Roda - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Levante B - Roda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWW
- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.12.24	Rayo Ibense - Villarreal C	1:5 ✺
30.11.24	Atzeneta - Rayo Ibense	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Rayo Ibense - Español de San Vicente	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Castellonense - Rayo Ibense	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Ibense - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.01.24	Rayo Ibense - Roda	2:0
02.04.23	Rayo Ibense - Roda	2:1
03.12.22	Roda - Rayo Ibense	2:0

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