Match Info

BELGIUM: BELGIAN CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Diaz Arena (Oostende)

Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sport 1+
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2


	Oostende		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.6	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.57
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.09	4.2	1.64
	5.63	4.14	1.62
	5	4	1.5
	5.81	3.92	1.56	Watch
	5.2	4.1	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.97)	4.06 ↑ (3.99)	1.59 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oostende
17.8%

Draw
23.1%

Royal Antwerp
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.6%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	6.9%	89.7%

Oostende - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: Royal Antwerp will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gabriel B. (G) 36. Wylin S. 22. Decoene M. 3. Medley Z. 2. Vinck J. 5. Laes B. 6. D'Arpino M. 16. Dewaele S. 8. Henderson E. 90. Berte M. 77. Atanga D.	91. Lammens S. (G) 34. Bataille J. 23. Alderweireld T. (C) 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 5. Wijndal O. 11. Muja A. 27. Keita M. 84. Doumbia M. 19. Ejuke C. 24. Ekkelenkamp J. 9. Ilenikhena G.
Substitutes
23. Amade A. 1. Bossin L. (G) 17. Fuentes J. 20. Musayev A. 9. Perez D. 25. Van Daele C.	1. Butez J. (G) 52. Corbanie K. 7. Kerk G. 17. Ondrejka J. 46. Smits M. 56. Tuypens E. 60. Udoh V.
Coaches
Shoffner J.	van Bommel M.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Oostende could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Antwerp is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Oostende won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Oostende
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.02.24	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Oostende	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Oostende - Deinze	0:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
17.01.24	Oostende - RWDM Brussels	2:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.01.24	Oostende - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Anderlecht U23 - Oostende	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWWT
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.02.24	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
31.01.24	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Eupen - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
24.01.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.01.24	Royal Antwerp - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.23	Oostende - Royal Antwerp	0:3
20.10.22	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	3:0
21.01.22	Oostende - Royal Antwerp	1:2
28.11.21	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	3:0
23.01.21	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	1:2
21.11.20	Oostende - Royal Antwerp	1:1
29.02.20	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	3:1

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