The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Royal Antwerp 35.4%
Draw 28.5%
Charleroi 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.3%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29.7%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Royal Antwerp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Royal Antwerp - Charleroi Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Antwerp will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 20. Van Helden R. 4. Tsunashima Y. 5. Foulon D. 14. Valencia A. 8. Praet D. 78. Dierckx X. 56. Tuypens E. 30. Scott C. 18. Janssen V. (C) 7. Kerk G.
30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 10. Guiagon P. 17. Bernier A. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
22. Adekami F. 9. Al Sahafi M. 16. Benitez M. 23. Bijl G. 11. Hairemans G. 24. Somers T. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 79. Vandeplas G.
56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 14. Pflucke P. 8. Romsaas J. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Oosting J.
Kohnen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Praet D. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Titraoui Y. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Blum L. 🟨,
63', Bernier A. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
67', Janssen V. 🟨,
70', Praet D. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
70', Tuypens E. ↓, Adekami F. ↑,
73', Guiagon P. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
74', Titraoui Y. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
76', Tsunashima Y. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
81', Romsaas J. 🟨,
86', Hairemans G. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Dierckx X. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
87', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
90', Kone M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 0.
Antwerp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Charleroi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Antwerp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Antwerp: Kouyate K.
(Red Card)
Vandeplas G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Antwerp won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.9:1.5).