The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oostende 31.1%
Draw 26.5%
Standard Liège 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
27%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
26.3%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oostende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
15%
65%
Oostende - Standard Liège Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Standard will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 44.1% – 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
Oostende has the most likely position - 16 (53.91%), project points - 28, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (86%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Standard has the most likely position - 8 (32.17%), project points - 52, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, small importance26, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 3.
Oostende is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Standard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Standard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Standard will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Oostende: Dwomoh P.
(Knock)
Katelaris F.
(Injury)
Musayev A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Standard: Dewaele G.
(Knee Injury)
Hautekiet I.
(Finger Injury)
Ngoy N.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 22 head-to-head matches Oostende won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 41-42.
Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-25.