Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Operário		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	5.4	3.7	1.55
	5.91	3.56	1.57
	5.62	3.78	1.57
	5.4	3.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (4.08)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário
16.4%

Draw
24.9%

Lusitano GC
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.4%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário's form might have worsened.

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitano GC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Operário - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Operário
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Amora - Operário	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Operário - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Operário	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWTWL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.02.25	Lusitano GC - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Lusitano GC - Serpa	3:2 ✺
19.01.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.01.25	Braga - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
11.01.25	Lagoa - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL

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