Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Dito Souza (Varzea Grande)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Operário Ltda		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	7	3.2	1.62
	6	3.3	1.55
	6.2	3.4	1.63
	7.81	3.38	1.6
	7.1	3.21	1.63
	5.8	3.4	1.62
	7.63	3.26	1.63
	6.2	3.4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.72 ↑ (4.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ltda
13.9%

Draw
28.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.3%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ltda's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ltda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Operário Ltda - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Airton (G)
	37. Cesar Martins
	31. Igor Formiga
	5. Jean Irmer
	38. Leo Natel
	28. Marlon
	4. Patrick
	88. Patrick Brey
	3. Rafael Donato (C)
	11. Robson
	30. Waguininho
Substitutes
	20. Airton
	93. Jordi (G)
	19. Leo Tocantins
	6. Luis Oyama
	10. Matheus Frizzo
	7. Pablo Dyego
	18. Pedro Balotelli
	33. Renato
	2. Rodrigo Soares
	8. Willian Farias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Igor Formiga 🟨,
27', Fabricio Lusa 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Waguininho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castanha ↓, Scottini ↑,
46', Gustavo Petrocelli ↓, Joao Borim ↑,
46', Patrick ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
55', Rafael Donato 🟨,
61', Wallisson ↓, Yury ↑,
64', Caio Vinicius ↓, Lima M. ↑,
69', Leo Natel ↓, Airton ↑,
69', Marlon ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
73', 🟨,
80', Jean Irmer 🟨,
86', Alex Moreira ↓, Guilherme Teixeira ↑,
87', Robson ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,

Preview

Operário Ltda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Novorizontino is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Novorizontino have a series of guest games.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.03.25	Operário Ltda - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Operário Ltda - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.25	Operário Ltda - Sport Recife	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
16.02.25	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LTWWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.03.25	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWT

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