Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Globo Esporte


	Rio Branco AC ES		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5
	6.2	3.75	1.49
	7.79	4	1.48
	7.34	3.81	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.89	4.3	1.45
	6.2	3.75	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.85 ↑ (6.17)	3.94 ↓ (4.43)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
13.6%

Draw
23.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

25%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Branco AC ES - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Andre Luiz (G) 8. Bruno Silva 23. Cayo Tenorio 4. Darlan 19. Diego Fernandes 5. Junior Dinde 7. Maranhao 14. Matheus Castelo 11. Matheus Costa 15. Romarinho 25. Theo Kruger	1. Airton (G) 17. Bruno Jose 26. Dantas 5. Jean Irmer 6. Luis Oyama 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Pablo Dyego 88. Patrick Brey 3. Rafael Donato 11. Robson 30. Waguininho
Substitutes
20. Braga 26. Breninho 2. Dudu 88. Emerson Martins 10. Felipe Para 3. Gustavo Carbonieri 9. Jaco 6. Joao Paulo 12. Neguete (G) 17. Rafael Lucas 21. Ricardinho 98. Vitinho	20. Airton 47. Fabio Matheus 93. Jordi (G) 38. Leo Natel 19. Leo Tocantins 28. Marlon 99. Nathan Fogaca 33. Renato 16. Reverson 2. Rodrigo Soares 8. Willian Farias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Rafael Donato (Own goal),
24', Bruno Silva 🟨,
32', Patrick Brey 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Luis Oyama ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Waguininho ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
47', Bruno Jose ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
47', Jean Irmer ↓, Marlon ↑,
54', Leo Tocantins 🟨,
61', Cayo Tenorio ↓, Dudu ↑,
61', Matheus Castelo ↓, Gustavo Carbonieri ↑,
66', Diego Fernandes ↓, Jaco ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Pablo Dyego ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Dantas ⚽,
85', Maranhao ↓, Breninho ↑,
86', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Renato ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Marlon ⚽,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Novorizontino is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
23.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Jaguare	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	2:4 ✺
12.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	0:0 ✺
06.02.25	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTT

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