Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday


	Souf		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	7	4	1.45
	7.63	3.81	1.5
	7	4	1.4
	9	4.79	1.32
	7.2	3.95	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (3.84)	4.05 ↑ (3.12)	1.43 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Souf
12.5%

Draw
22.8%

USM Alger
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

29.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Souf's form might have worsened.

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Souf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.3%	2.6%	96.1%

Souf - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: USM Alger will win (73 of 76 users predict this - 96.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Dahmani M. . Al-Jilani H. . Belghumri . Belmin . Benamara M. . Bin Aros . Haif M. . Lalawna . Rahmani A. . Shasha . Siabe I.	16. Soufi K. (G) . Bacha A. 24. Benkhelifa T. 5. Bouchina M. 32. Bounacer A. 11. Bouziane M. 20. Dehiri H. 9. Kanou A. 15. Lamara N. 8. Merili I. . Radouani S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Souf has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

USM Alger is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

USM Alger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match USM Alger is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's USM Alger to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
13.01.24	Khenchela - Souf	2:0 ✺
05.01.24	Souf - Paradou	1:4 ✺
29.12.23	Magra - Souf	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Souf - ES Sétif	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Souf - Saoura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
15.01.24	USM Alger - Oran	2:0 ✺
11.01.24	USM Alger - Saoura	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	ASO Chlef - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
29.12.23	USM Alger - MC Alger	0:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
20.12.23	Modern Sport - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTT

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