Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade 1 Novembre 1954 (Tizi Ouzou)


	Kabylie		Souf

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	12.5
	1.2	5.5	15	Watch
	1.2	5.2	11.5
	1.21	5.88	16.93
	1.22	5	11
	1.25	5.82	14
	1.2	5.6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.51)	5.5 ↑ (3.65)	13.56 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kabylie
76.4%

Draw
16.8%

Souf
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kabylie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kabylie's performance.

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Souf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabylie than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kabylie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Souf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kabylie - Souf Predictions

Users Predictions: Kabylie will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kabylie is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Souf has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Souf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kabylie is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Kabylie
Algerian Ligue 1
23.01.24	Kabylie - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Saoura - Kabylie	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Kabylie - ASO Chlef	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	MC Alger - Kabylie	1:1 ✺
15.12.23	Constantine - Kabylie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWTL
- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
19.01.24	Souf - USM Alger	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Khenchela - Souf	2:0 ✺
05.01.24	Souf - Paradou	1:4 ✺
29.12.23	Magra - Souf	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Souf - ES Sétif	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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