FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 9
Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished
Orenburg-2
Nosta Novotroitsk
1
X
2
2.01
3.34
3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.01 ↓ (2.07)
3.34 ↑ (3.3)
3.21 ↓ (3.25)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orenburg-2 44.9%
Draw 27%
Nosta Novotroitsk 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.2%
27.7%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
28.4%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
The chances for Nosta Novotroitsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vainer A. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Nekrasov O. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Cherkasov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 1, Cherkasov D. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
85', 5 - 1, Frolov Y. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 2.
In recent outings, Orenburg-2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nosta is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nosta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Orenburg-2 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Orenburg-2 has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orenburg-2 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
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