FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Championship Group - Round 4
Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday
KDV Tomsk
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1
X
2
1.47
3.90
6.98
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.47 ↓ (1.64)
3.9 ↑ (3.5)
6.98 ↑ (5.13)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KDV Tomsk 63%
Draw 23.7%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
26.2%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
24.6%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KDV Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KDV Tomsk's performance.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KDV Tomsk than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KDV Tomsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Matskharashvili N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Simdyankin N. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Danube V. ⚽,
77', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The betting markets point to KDV as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KDV has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KDV against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.
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