Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Orenburg-2		Lada Dimitrovgrad

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2
	2.85	3.7	2.1
	3.05	3.45	1.95
	3.32	3.83	2.02
	3.34	3.44	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.5)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	2.02 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
29.4%

Draw
25.2%

Lada Dimitrovgrad
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

27%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

21.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orenburg-2's form might have worsened.

Lada Dimitrovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lada Dimitrovgrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Dimitrovgrad than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lada Dimitrovgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Orenburg-2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lada Dimitrovgrad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orenburg-2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
26.09.20	Orenburg-2 - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
20.09.20	Volna Kovernino - Orenburg-2	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	KAMAZ - Orenburg-2	4:0 ✺
06.09.20	Orenburg-2 - Zenit Izhevsk	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWT
- Lada Dimitrovgrad
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
27.09.20	Lada Dimitrovgrad - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Lada Dimitrovgrad - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Volna Kovernino - Lada Dimitrovgrad	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	KAMAZ - Lada Dimitrovgrad	4:0 ✺
24.08.20	Lada Dimitrovgrad - Zenit Izhevsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLW

Orenburg-2 - Lada Dimitrovgrad

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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