Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	04:00	SportsEngine Play


	Ural 2		Orenburg-2

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.62	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.26)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural 2
37.6%

Draw
24.8%

Orenburg-2
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg-2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Satuchin P. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Frolov Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural 2 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ural 2 won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orenburg 2	31	10	11	10	49:47	2	41
5	Ural 2 ✔	31	7	9	15	44:58	-14	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
06.09.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Ural 2	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ural 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Ural 2	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Ural 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Ural 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLL
- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.26	Orenburg-2 - Izhevsk	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.06.26	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	5:0
13.04.26	Orenburg-2 - Ural 2	0:5
27.07.25	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	0:5
20.04.25	Orenburg-2 - Ural 2	3:1
02.08.24	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	1:1
28.10.23	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	1:0
02.09.23	Orenburg-2 - Ural 2	1:1

Ural 2 - Orenburg-2