Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa (Lagoa)


	Lagoa		Elvas

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.25	1.95
	3.72	3.20	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	2.9	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.98)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagoa
26.4%

Draw
28.5%

Elvas
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-2%)

Lagoa - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Elvas has had a series of away games.

Elvas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.10.25	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lagoa - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lagoa - Louletano	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLL
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.10.25	Juventude de Évora - Elvas	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Elvas - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.25	Marco 09 - Elvas	1:0 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.09.25	Sintrense - Elvas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	SC Lusitânia - Elvas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW

Lagoa - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide