Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5Date: 4 October 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
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Orihuela |
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Cieza |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.20 |
3.30 |
|
 |
2.00 |
3.05 |
3.40 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.30 |
3.74 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.13 |
3.61 |
 Watch |
 |
2.03 |
3.00 |
3.70 |
|
 |
1.97 |
3.52 |
3.62 |
|
 |
2.00 |
3.10 |
3.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.6) |
3.19 ↓
(3.34) |
3.54 ↑
(2.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orihuela
45.5% | Draw
28.7% | Cieza
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.Cieza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cieza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cieza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Orihuela - Cieza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 52', 0 - 1, Miranda G. (Own goal),
- 68', 0 - 2, Pitu ⚽,
- 85', 0 - 3, Casadevall M. ⚽,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.Orihuela could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. Orihuela is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Orihuela has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.Specifically in home fixtures for Orihuela against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
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| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Orihuela - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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