Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		La Unión

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.55	2.3
	3.95	2.6	2.15
	4.41	2.67	2.13
	4.15	2.71	2.09	Watch
	4.15	2.81	2.06
	3.95	2.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.7)	2.66 ↓ (2.97)	2.15 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
23%

Draw
34.4%

La Unión
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orihuela's form might have worsened.

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Unión's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orihuela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Unión, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orihuela - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, El Kounni K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, Vega S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Orihuela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Unión in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

La Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Granada B - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Orihuela - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Villanovense - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Orihuela - Linense	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Águilas - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWT
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.04.25	La Unión - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - La Unión	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	La Unión - Estepona	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	La Unión - Orihuela	1:0
03.03.24	La Unión - Orihuela	0:0
22.10.23	Orihuela - La Unión	1:0
Club Friendly
12.08.23	La Unión - Orihuela	0:1

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