Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.5
	2.95	2.7	2.6
	2.98	2.72	2.61	Watch
	3	2.68	2.61
	2.95	2.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
30.9%

Draw
33.9%

Orihuela
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

34.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

35.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Villanovense - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Arteaga Garcia R. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Pitu (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Villanovense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orihuela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villanovense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Last Results with these Odds

Orihuela - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Villanovense - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Estepona - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLTL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.25	Orihuela - Linense	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Águilas - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Orihuela - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Orihuela - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.24	Orihuela - Villanovense	4:1

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