Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		La Unión

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.05	4.15
	1.84	3.34	4.13
	1.82	3.45	4.03	Watch
	1.83	3.18	4.19
	1.72	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	4.25 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
50.5%

Draw
28%

La Unión
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

UCAM Murcia - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Raigal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 0 - 2, Orobio E. ⚽,
89', Santos Colado J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, UCAM Murcia is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	La Unión - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Águilas - La Unión	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	La Unión - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - La Unión	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	0:1
10.11.24	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	1:0
Club Friendly
14.08.24	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	2:0
08.10.23	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	3:1
Club Friendly
05.08.23	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	1:0

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