Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Orihuela		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.7
	2.45	2.75	3.05
	2.47	2.6	3.1
	2.62	2.85	3.2
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.44	2.96	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.47)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
36.7%

Draw
32.9%

Peña Deportiva
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orihuela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orihuela - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.11.20	Hércules - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Orihuela - Valencia B	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Atzeneta - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Orihuela - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	La Nucía - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.11.20	Peña Deportiva - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Peña Deportiva - Levante B	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Valencia B - Peña Deportiva	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Peña Deportiva - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTTW

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