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Current Win Probability
Orihuela 39.2%
Draw 27.1%
Valencia B 33.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
23.8%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
19.6%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orihuela's form might have worsened.
Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Orihuela - Valencia B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Gamon R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Espinola A. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orihuela won 1.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Orihuela may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Orihuela has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:15 (averaging 1.6:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orihuela against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Orihuela
8
3
2
3
10:15
-5
11
17
Valencia B
7
1
2
4
7:12
-5
5
Last Results with these Odds
Valencia B - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.