Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.75
	1.98	2.98	3.7
	1.97	3.33	3.8
	2.33	3.04	2.99	Watch
	1.97	3.31	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.29)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	3.62 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
45.5%

Draw
29.1%

Real Madrid C
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Orihuela - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Monterde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Orihuela is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Madrid C is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orihuela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orihuela has had a series of away games.

Orihuela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Orihuela - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Orihuela	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Orihuela - Tenerife B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Socuéllamos - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTLWW
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.10.25	Real Madrid C - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Real Madrid C	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Real Madrid C - Las Palmas B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

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